Head to head

Ethiopia vs Samoa

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

59% / 22% / 19%

Ethiopia win / draw / Samoa win

Ethiopia–Samoa

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.6%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.6%

Neutral venue

51% / 24% / 24%

Ethiopia win / draw / Samoa win

Ethiopia–Samoa

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.0%

Samoa at home

43% / 26% / 31%

Ethiopia win / draw / Samoa win

Ethiopia–Samoa

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Samoa
Current Elo	1393	1216
Elo rank	148th	179th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	409	71
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	549	99
Goals against	595	249
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Samoa have never played each other.