Head to head

Ethiopia vs Saint Lucia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Ethiopia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Ethiopia–Saint Lucia

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Neutral venue

50% / 25% / 25%

Ethiopia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Ethiopia–Saint Lucia

1–1 11.7%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 8.9%
0–1 7.1%

Saint Lucia at home

42% / 26% / 32%

Ethiopia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Ethiopia–Saint Lucia

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.6%
1–2 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Saint Lucia
Current Elo	1393	1224
Elo rank	148th	177th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1526 (1965)
Matches played	409	230
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	80W 33D 117L
Goals for	549	327
Goals against	595	438
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	14–1 vs United States Virgin Islands · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–8 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2006-10-01 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Saint Lucia have never played each other.