Head to head

Ethiopia vs Qatar

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

33% / 26% / 41%

Ethiopia win / draw / Qatar win

Ethiopia–Qatar

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

26% / 25% / 49%

Ethiopia win / draw / Qatar win

Ethiopia–Qatar

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Qatar at home

20% / 23% / 57%

Ethiopia win / draw / Qatar win

Ethiopia–Qatar

0–1 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Qatar
Current Elo	1393	1543
Elo rank	148th	95th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1881 (2019)
Matches played	409	638
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	260W 156D 222L
Goals for	549	897
Goals against	595	777
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	15–0 vs Bhutan · 2015-09-03 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–9 vs Kuwait · 1973-04-12 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.01

When they've met

Ethiopia and Qatar have never played each other.