Head to head

Ethiopia vs Poland

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

18% / 22% / 60%

Ethiopia win / draw / Poland win

Ethiopia–Poland

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.8%
1–1 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.7%

Neutral venue

13% / 20% / 67%

Ethiopia win / draw / Poland win

Ethiopia–Poland

0–2 12.3%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
0–3 8.5%

Poland at home

9% / 17% / 74%

Ethiopia win / draw / Poland win

Ethiopia–Poland

0–2 13.9%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.5%
1–2 9.0%
1–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Poland
Current Elo	1393	1779
Elo rank	148th	44th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1937 (1975)
Matches played	409	892
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	384W 225D 283L
Goals for	549	1499
Goals against	595	1201
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.24

When they've met

Ethiopia and Poland have never played each other.