Head to head

Ethiopia vs Paraguay

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

12% / 19% / 69%

Ethiopia win / draw / Paraguay win

Ethiopia–Paraguay

0–2 12.7%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.1%
0–3 8.9%

Neutral venue

8% / 16% / 76%

Ethiopia win / draw / Paraguay win

Ethiopia–Paraguay

0–2 14.2%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.0%
1–2 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Paraguay at home

5% / 13% / 82%

Ethiopia win / draw / Paraguay win

Ethiopia–Paraguay

0–2 15.7%
0–3 13.1%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.3%
1–2 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Paraguay
Current Elo	1393	1901
Elo rank	148th	23rd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1927 (2025)
Matches played	409	788
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	276W 210D 302L
Goals for	549	1006
Goals against	595	1119
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs Hong Kong · 2010-11-17 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–8 vs Argentina · 1926-10-20 · Copa América
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.23

When they've met

Ethiopia and Paraguay have never played each other.