Head to head

Ethiopia vs Papua New Guinea

If they played today

Ethiopia at home
41% / 26% / 33%
Ethiopia win / draw / Papua New Guinea win
Ethiopia–Papua New Guinea
  • 1–1 12.4%
  • 1–0 10.1%
  • 0–1 8.9%
  • 2–1 8.7%
  • 1–2 7.6%
Neutral venue
33% / 26% / 41%
Ethiopia win / draw / Papua New Guinea win
Ethiopia–Papua New Guinea
  • 1–1 12.4%
  • 0–1 10.1%
  • 1–0 8.9%
  • 1–2 8.7%
  • 2–1 7.6%
Papua New Guinea at home
26% / 25% / 49%
Ethiopia win / draw / Papua New Guinea win
Ethiopia–Papua New Guinea
  • 1–1 11.8%
  • 0–1 10.8%
  • 1–2 9.5%
  • 0–2 8.6%
  • 1–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 EthiopiaPapua New Guinea
Current Elo13931443
Elo rank148th133rd
Peak Elo1641 (1968)1553 (1989)
Matches played409155
All-time record144W 93D 172L52W 29D 74L
Goals for549336
Goals against595312
Biggest win10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly20–0 vs American Samoa · 1987-12-15 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament0–10 vs Malaysia · 2023-06-20 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Papua New Guinea have never played each other.