Head to head

Ethiopia vs Panama

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

19% / 22% / 59%

Ethiopia win / draw / Panama win

Ethiopia–Panama

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
0–2 10.6%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.6%

Neutral venue

14% / 20% / 67%

Ethiopia win / draw / Panama win

Ethiopia–Panama

0–2 12.2%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.5%
0–3 8.3%

Panama at home

9% / 17% / 74%

Ethiopia win / draw / Panama win

Ethiopia–Panama

0–2 13.7%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.3%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Panama
Current Elo	1393	1770
Elo rank	148th	47th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1891 (2025)
Matches played	409	542
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	183W 133D 226L
Goals for	549	679
Goals against	595	826
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	13–0 vs Anguilla · 2021-06-05 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–11 vs Costa Rica · 1938-02-16 · Central American and Caribbean Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.01

When they've met

Ethiopia and Panama have never played each other.