Head to head

Ethiopia vs North Macedonia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

26% / 25% / 50%

Ethiopia win / draw / North Macedonia win

Ethiopia–North Macedonia

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.7%
1–0 7.3%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 58%

Ethiopia win / draw / North Macedonia win

Ethiopia–North Macedonia

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.3%
1–2 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

North Macedonia at home

14% / 20% / 65%

Ethiopia win / draw / North Macedonia win

Ethiopia–North Macedonia

0–2 11.9%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.7%
0–3 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	North Macedonia
Current Elo	1393	1650
Elo rank	148th	79th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1726 (2022)
Matches played	409	306
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	95W 80D 131L
Goals for	549	365
Goals against	595	412
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	11–1 vs Liechtenstein · 1996-11-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–7 vs England · 2023-06-19 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and North Macedonia have never played each other.