Head to head

Ethiopia vs Nigeria

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

13% / 20% / 68%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nigeria win

Ethiopia–Nigeria

0–2 12.4%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
0–3 8.6%

Neutral venue

9% / 17% / 74%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nigeria win

Ethiopia–Nigeria

0–2 13.9%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.6%
1–2 9.0%
1–1 7.9%

Nigeria at home

6% / 14% / 81%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nigeria win

Ethiopia–Nigeria

0–2 15.4%
0–3 12.7%
0–1 12.4%
1–2 7.9%
0–4 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Nigeria
Current Elo	1393	1883
Elo rank	148th	26th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1896 (2006)
Matches played	409	661
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	311W 192D 158L
Goals for	549	1008
Goals against	595	662
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	10–0 vs São Tomé and Príncipe · 2022-06-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–7 vs Ghana · 1955-10-30 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.08
African Cup of Nations won	1	3
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	2.40

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 1W 1D 8L

Goals

5–24

Ethiopia first

First meeting

0–3

Nigeria won · 1982-03-07 · African Cup of Nations

Most recent

1–2

Nigeria won · 2014-01-04 · Friendly

Ethiopia's biggest win

1–0

1993-04-11 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Nigeria's biggest win

6–0

1993-07-24 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most common result

1–2

Ethiopia first · twice, last 2014-01-04

Current run

Unbeaten in 7

Nigeria · since 1993-07-24

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2014-01-04	1–2	Nigeria home	Friendly
2013-11-16	0–2	Nigeria home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2013-10-13	1–2	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2013-01-29	0–2	Neutral	African Cup of Nations
2011-06-05	2–2	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2011-03-27	0–4	Nigeria home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1993-07-24	0–6	Nigeria home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1993-04-11	1–0	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1983-04-29	0–1	Ethiopia home	Friendly
1982-03-07	0–3	Neutral	African Cup of Nations