Head to head

Ethiopia vs Nicaragua

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nicaragua win

Ethiopia–Nicaragua

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Neutral venue

30% / 26% / 45%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nicaragua win

Ethiopia–Nicaragua

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.8%

Nicaragua at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nicaragua win

Ethiopia–Nicaragua

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Nicaragua
Current Elo	1393	1491
Elo rank	148th	115th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1539 (2024)
Matches played	409	222
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	51W 27D 144L
Goals for	549	234
Goals against	595	534
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs Turks and Caicos Islands · 2021-03-27 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–10 vs Honduras · 1946-03-13 · CCCF Championship
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Nicaragua have never played each other.