Head to head

Ethiopia vs New Zealand

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Ethiopia win / draw / New Zealand win

Ethiopia–New Zealand

1–1 11.5%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.3%
1–0 6.8%

Neutral venue

17% / 22% / 61%

Ethiopia win / draw / New Zealand win

Ethiopia–New Zealand

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.9%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.9%

New Zealand at home

13% / 19% / 68%

Ethiopia win / draw / New Zealand win

Ethiopia–New Zealand

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	New Zealand
Current Elo	1393	1689
Elo rank	148th	68th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1825 (2025)
Matches played	409	419
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	172W 74D 173L
Goals for	549	733
Goals against	595	634
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Ethiopia and New Zealand have never played each other.