Head to head

Ethiopia vs New Caledonia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

30% / 26% / 45%

Ethiopia win / draw / New Caledonia win

Ethiopia–New Caledonia

1–1 12.2%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.8%

Neutral venue

23% / 24% / 53%

Ethiopia win / draw / New Caledonia win

Ethiopia–New Caledonia

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.0%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

New Caledonia at home

17% / 22% / 61%

Ethiopia win / draw / New Caledonia win

Ethiopia–New Caledonia

0–1 11.5%
0–2 10.9%
1–1 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	New Caledonia
Current Elo	1393	1591
Elo rank	148th	85th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1699 (2008)
Matches played	409	265
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	136W 34D 95L
Goals for	549	698
Goals against	595	369
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	18–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-01 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–11 vs Australia · 2002-07-08 · Oceania Nations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and New Caledonia have never played each other.