Head to head

Ethiopia vs Netherlands

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

7% / 15% / 78%

Ethiopia win / draw / Netherlands win

Ethiopia–Netherlands

0–2 14.9%
0–1 12.4%
0–3 12.0%
1–2 8.3%
0–4 7.2%

Neutral venue

4% / 12% / 84%

Ethiopia win / draw / Netherlands win

Ethiopia–Netherlands

0–2 16.3%
0–3 14.2%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 9.3%
1–2 7.0%

Netherlands at home

2% / 9% / 89%

Ethiopia win / draw / Netherlands win

Ethiopia–Netherlands

0–2 17.7%
0–3 16.6%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 11.7%
0–5 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Netherlands
Current Elo	1393	2048
Elo rank	148th	8th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	2198 (2014)
Matches played	409	883
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	455W 200D 228L
Goals for	549	1852
Goals against	595	1081
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	11–0 vs San Marino · 2011-09-02 · UEFA Euro qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–7 vs Germany · 1959-10-21 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.83

When they've met

Ethiopia and Netherlands have never played each other.