Head to head

Ethiopia vs Nepal

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

68% / 20% / 13%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nepal win

Ethiopia–Nepal

2–0 12.4%
1–0 11.9%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.3%
3–0 8.6%

Neutral venue

60% / 22% / 18%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nepal win

Ethiopia–Nepal

1–0 11.5%
2–0 10.8%
1–1 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.8%

Nepal at home

52% / 24% / 24%

Ethiopia win / draw / Nepal win

Ethiopia–Nepal

1–1 11.5%
1–0 11.0%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.2%
0–1 6.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Nepal
Current Elo	1393	1103
Elo rank	148th	193rd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1495 (1972)
Matches played	409	268
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	63W 47D 158L
Goals for	549	229
Goals against	595	602
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Nepal have never played each other.