Head to head

Ethiopia vs Mozambique

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

37% / 26% / 37%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mozambique win

Ethiopia–Mozambique

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.7%
1–0 9.6%
1–2 8.2%
2–1 8.1%

Neutral venue

29% / 26% / 45%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mozambique win

Ethiopia–Mozambique

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–0 8.1%
0–2 7.8%

Mozambique at home

23% / 24% / 53%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mozambique win

Ethiopia–Mozambique

1–1 11.4%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.7%
0–2 9.4%
1–0 6.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Mozambique
Current Elo	1393	1495
Elo rank	148th	112th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1576 (2025)
Matches played	409	375
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	118W 95D 162L
Goals for	549	387
Goals against	595	485
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	6–1 vs Lesotho · 1980-08-10 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–6 vs Zimbabwe · 1980-04-20 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.09

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 1W 0D 0L

Goals

3–2

Ethiopia first

First meeting

3–2

Ethiopia won · 1980-11-12 · Friendly

Most recent

3–2

Ethiopia won · 1980-11-12 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1980-11-12	3–2	Ethiopia home	Friendly