Head to head

Ethiopia vs Morocco

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

7% / 15% / 77%

Ethiopia win / draw / Morocco win

Ethiopia–Morocco

0–2 14.6%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.6%
1–2 8.6%
1–1 7.2%

Neutral venue

5% / 12% / 83%

Ethiopia win / draw / Morocco win

Ethiopia–Morocco

0–2 16.1%
0–3 13.8%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.9%
1–2 7.3%

Morocco at home

3% / 10% / 88%

Ethiopia win / draw / Morocco win

Ethiopia–Morocco

0–2 17.5%
0–3 16.1%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 11.2%
0–5 6.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Morocco
Current Elo	1393	2029
Elo rank	148th	10th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	2055 (2026)
Matches played	409	623
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	309W 174D 140L
Goals for	549	926
Goals against	595	500
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs Lesotho · 2024-11-18 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–5 vs Serbia · 1960-01-01 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.10
African Cup of Nations won	1	2
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	2.59

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 0W 0D 4L

Goals

0–11

Ethiopia first

First meeting

0–5

Morocco won · 1992-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

0–1

Morocco won · 1997-07-13 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Morocco

Morocco's biggest win

5–0

1992-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most common result

0–1

Ethiopia first · twice, last 1997-07-13

Current run

Won last 4

Morocco · since 1992-10-11

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1997-07-13	0–1	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1997-05-31	0–4	Morocco home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1993-01-17	0–1	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1992-10-11	0–5	Morocco home	FIFA World Cup qualification