Head to head

Ethiopia vs Mongolia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

76% / 16% / 8%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mongolia win

Ethiopia–Mongolia

2–0 14.3%
1–0 12.3%
3–0 11.1%
2–1 8.8%
1–1 7.6%

Neutral venue

69% / 19% / 12%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mongolia win

Ethiopia–Mongolia

2–0 12.7%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.6%
3–0 9.0%
1–1 9.0%

Mongolia at home

62% / 22% / 17%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mongolia win

Ethiopia–Mongolia

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.2%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Mongolia
Current Elo	1393	980
Elo rank	148th	207th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1474 (1942)
Matches played	409	103
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	25W 9D 69L
Goals for	549	117
Goals against	595	316
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	9–0 vs Northern Mariana Islands · 2018-09-04 · EAFF Championship
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–15 vs Uzbekistan · 1998-12-05 · Asian Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Mongolia have never played each other.