Head to head

Ethiopia vs Moldova

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

51% / 24% / 25%

Ethiopia win / draw / Moldova win

Ethiopia–Moldova

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.0%
0–1 7.1%

Neutral venue

43% / 26% / 31%

Ethiopia win / draw / Moldova win

Ethiopia–Moldova

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.2%
2–1 8.9%
0–1 8.5%
2–0 7.4%

Moldova at home

35% / 26% / 39%

Ethiopia win / draw / Moldova win

Ethiopia–Moldova

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.9%
1–0 9.2%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Moldova
Current Elo	1393	1319
Elo rank	148th	165th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1566 (1994)
Matches played	409	299
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	58W 70D 171L
Goals for	549	243
Goals against	595	522
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Moldova have never played each other.