Head to head

Ethiopia vs Mexico

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

8% / 16% / 76%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mexico win

Ethiopia–Mexico

0–2 14.4%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.2%
1–2 8.7%
1–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

5% / 13% / 82%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mexico win

Ethiopia–Mexico

0–2 15.8%
0–3 13.4%
0–1 12.5%
0–4 8.5%
1–2 7.5%

Mexico at home

3% / 10% / 87%

Ethiopia win / draw / Mexico win

Ethiopia–Mexico

0–2 17.2%
0–3 15.7%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 10.8%
0–5 5.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Mexico
Current Elo	1393	2012
Elo rank	148th	12th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	2044 (2026)
Matches played	409	1008
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	518W 231D 259L
Goals for	549	1777
Goals against	595	1057
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	11–0 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 1992-12-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–8 vs England · 1961-05-10 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.64

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 0W 0D 1L

Goals

0–3

Ethiopia first

First meeting

0–3

Mexico won · 1968-09-29 · Friendly

Most recent

0–3

Mexico won · 1968-09-29 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1968-09-29	0–3	Mexico home	Friendly