Head to head

Ethiopia vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

39% / 26% / 35%

Ethiopia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Ethiopia–Luxembourg

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 7.9%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 43%

Ethiopia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Ethiopia–Luxembourg

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Luxembourg at home

24% / 24% / 51%

Ethiopia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Ethiopia–Luxembourg

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Luxembourg
Current Elo	1393	1470
Elo rank	148th	124th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	409	467
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	549	296
Goals against	595	1204
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Luxembourg have never played each other.