Head to head

Ethiopia vs Lithuania

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

48% / 25% / 27%

Ethiopia win / draw / Lithuania win

Ethiopia–Lithuania

1–1 11.9%
1–0 10.7%
2–1 9.4%
2–0 8.4%
0–1 7.5%

Neutral venue

40% / 26% / 34%

Ethiopia win / draw / Lithuania win

Ethiopia–Lithuania

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.0%
0–1 9.0%
2–1 8.6%
1–2 7.8%

Lithuania at home

32% / 26% / 42%

Ethiopia win / draw / Lithuania win

Ethiopia–Lithuania

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.1%
1–2 8.8%
1–0 8.7%
2–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Lithuania
Current Elo	1393	1353
Elo rank	148th	157th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1682 (2008)
Matches played	409	433
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	111W 84D 238L
Goals for	549	431
Goals against	595	786
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs Estonia · 1995-05-20 · Baltic Cup
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–10 vs Egypt · 1924-05-27 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Lithuania have never played each other.