Head to head

Ethiopia vs Libya

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

34% / 26% / 40%

Ethiopia win / draw / Libya win

Ethiopia–Libya

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 9.0%
1–2 8.6%
2–1 7.8%

Neutral venue

27% / 25% / 48%

Ethiopia win / draw / Libya win

Ethiopia–Libya

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.4%
1–0 7.6%

Libya at home

21% / 23% / 56%

Ethiopia win / draw / Libya win

Ethiopia–Libya

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.1%
0–2 10.0%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Libya
Current Elo	1393	1531
Elo rank	148th	101st
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1701 (2012)
Matches played	409	384
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	143W 92D 149L
Goals for	549	500
Goals against	595	466
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	21–0 vs Oman · 1966-04-03 · Arab Cup
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–6 vs Lithuania · 1966-05-25 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.16

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 3W 1D 4L

Goals

10–10

Ethiopia first

First meeting

0–2

Libya won · 1969-01-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–3

Libya won · 2007-06-17 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

5–1

1969-02-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Libya's biggest win

3–1

2007-06-17 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most common result

1–0

Ethiopia first · twice, last 2006-09-03

Current run

Won the last meeting

Libya · since 2007-06-17

8 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2007-06-17	1–3	Libya home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2006-09-03	1–0	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1983-05-03	0–1	Ethiopia home	Friendly
1983-05-01	1–0	Ethiopia home	Friendly
1979-04-29	1–1	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1979-04-15	1–2	Libya home	African Cup of Nations qualification
1969-02-09	5–1	Ethiopia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
1969-01-26	0–2	Libya home	FIFA World Cup qualification