Head to head

Ethiopia vs Liberia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Ethiopia win / draw / Liberia win

Ethiopia–Liberia

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
0–1 8.8%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 40%

Ethiopia win / draw / Liberia win

Ethiopia–Liberia

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.6%
2–1 7.7%

Liberia at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Ethiopia win / draw / Liberia win

Ethiopia–Liberia

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Liberia
Current Elo	1393	1438
Elo rank	148th	138th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1629 (2001)
Matches played	409	302
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	79W 70D 153L
Goals for	549	270
Goals against	595	445
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	5–0 vs Djibouti · 2016-03-29 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	2–7 vs Tunisia · 2001-12-30 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.05

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 1W 0D 1L

Goals

1–1

Ethiopia first

First meeting

1–0

Ethiopia won · 2003-03-30 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Most recent

0–1

Liberia won · 2003-06-08 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

1–0

2003-03-30 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Liberia's biggest win

1–0

2003-06-08 · African Cup of Nations qualification

Current run

Won the last meeting

Liberia · since 2003-06-08

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2003-06-08	0–1	Liberia home	African Cup of Nations qualification
2003-03-30	1–0	Ethiopia home	African Cup of Nations qualification