Head to head

Ethiopia vs Lebanon

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Ethiopia win / draw / Lebanon win

Ethiopia–Lebanon

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
0–1 8.8%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 41%

Ethiopia win / draw / Lebanon win

Ethiopia–Lebanon

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.7%

Lebanon at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Ethiopia win / draw / Lebanon win

Ethiopia–Lebanon

1–1 11.8%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Lebanon
Current Elo	1393	1442
Elo rank	148th	134th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1596 (2018)
Matches played	409	333
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	93W 92D 148L
Goals for	549	385
Goals against	595	469
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	8–1 vs Pakistan · 2001-05-26 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–7 vs Mexico · 1978-09-10 · Korea Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Lebanon have never played each other.