xstats.football
Head to head

Ethiopia vs Kenya

If they played today

Ethiopia at home
38% / 26% / 35%
Ethiopia win / draw / Kenya win
Ethiopia–Kenya
  • 1–1 12.5%
  • 1–0 9.8%
  • 0–1 9.3%
  • 2–1 8.4%
  • 1–2 8.0%
Neutral venue
31% / 26% / 43%
Ethiopia win / draw / Kenya win
Ethiopia–Kenya
  • 1–1 12.3%
  • 0–1 10.3%
  • 1–2 8.9%
  • 1–0 8.4%
  • 0–2 7.5%
Kenya at home
24% / 24% / 51%
Ethiopia win / draw / Kenya win
Ethiopia–Kenya
  • 1–1 11.6%
  • 0–1 10.9%
  • 1–2 9.6%
  • 0–2 9.1%
  • 1–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 EthiopiaKenya
Current Elo13931472
Elo rank148th123rd
Peak Elo1641 (1968)1644 (1961)
Matches played409706
All-time record144W 93D 172L268W 176D 262L
Goals for549978
Goals against595958
Biggest win10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly
Biggest loss0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won10
Expected African Cup of Nations1.670.20

When they've met

Meetings
32
Ethiopia 10W 9D 13L
Goals
40–46
Ethiopia first
First meeting
4–3
Ethiopia won · 1961-12-31 · Friendly
Most recent
0–3
Kenya won · 2018-10-14 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Ethiopia's biggest win
6–1
1962-01-07 · Friendly
Kenya's biggest win
3–0
2018-10-14 · African Cup of Nations qualification
Most common result
0–0
Ethiopia first · 4 times, last 2018-10-10
Current run
Unbeaten in 5
Kenya · since 2011-11-30
32 meetings
DateScoreVenueCompetition
2018-10-140–3Kenya homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
2018-10-100–0Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
2013-11-270–0Kenya homeCECAFA Cup
2012-11-301–3NeutralCECAFA Cup
2011-11-300–2NeutralCECAFA Cup
2010-12-022–1NeutralCECAFA Cup
2010-08-180–3Ethiopia homeFriendly
2009-12-050–2Kenya homeCECAFA Cup
2006-08-131–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
2006-08-111–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
2004-12-222–2Ethiopia homeCECAFA Cup
2001-12-222–1NeutralCECAFA Cup
1999-01-312–2Ethiopia homeFriendly
1995-12-091–2NeutralCECAFA Cup
1987-12-202–1Ethiopia homeCECAFA Cup
1984-10-283–3Ethiopia homeFIFA World Cup qualification
1984-10-131–2Kenya homeFIFA World Cup qualification
1983-12-121–2Kenya homeFriendly
1983-12-100–1Kenya homeFriendly
1983-12-082–2Kenya homeFriendly
1983-11-150–2Kenya homeCECAFA Cup
1983-03-220–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
1983-03-202–2Ethiopia homeFriendly
1981-04-120–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
1975-06-051–2Kenya homeFriendly
1970-12-150–1Ethiopia homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1970-11-220–2Kenya homeAfrican Cup of Nations qualification
1967-12-312–0Ethiopia homeFriendly
1967-02-192–0NeutralFriendly
1963-06-032–1Kenya homeFriendly
1962-01-076–1Ethiopia homeFriendly
1961-12-314–3Ethiopia homeFriendly