Head to head

Ethiopia vs Kazakhstan

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

35% / 26% / 38%

Ethiopia win / draw / Kazakhstan win

Ethiopia–Kazakhstan

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.3%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

28% / 25% / 47%

Ethiopia win / draw / Kazakhstan win

Ethiopia–Kazakhstan

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.1%
1–0 7.8%

Kazakhstan at home

22% / 24% / 55%

Ethiopia win / draw / Kazakhstan win

Ethiopia–Kazakhstan

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.7%
1–0 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Kazakhstan
Current Elo	1393	1513
Elo rank	148th	106th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1621 (1997)
Matches played	409	269
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	71W 60D 138L
Goals for	549	309
Goals against	595	444
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	20–1 vs Guam · 1997-05-13 · East Asian Games
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–8 vs France · 2021-11-13 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Kazakhstan have never played each other.