Head to head

Ethiopia vs Japan

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

9% / 17% / 74%

Ethiopia win / draw / Japan win

Ethiopia–Japan

0–2 13.8%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.4%
1–2 9.1%
1–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

6% / 14% / 80%

Ethiopia win / draw / Japan win

Ethiopia–Japan

0–2 15.3%
0–3 12.5%
0–1 12.4%
1–2 8.0%
0–4 7.7%

Japan at home

4% / 11% / 85%

Ethiopia win / draw / Japan win

Ethiopia–Japan

0–2 16.7%
0–3 14.8%
0–1 12.6%
0–4 9.8%
1–2 6.6%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Japan
Current Elo	1393	1973
Elo rank	148th	15th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	2012 (2026)
Matches played	409	794
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	391W 167D 236L
Goals for	549	1451
Goals against	595	915
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	14–0 vs Mongolia · 2021-03-30 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	2–15 vs Philippines · 1917-05-10 · Far Eastern Championship Games
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.16

When they've met

Ethiopia and Japan have never played each other.