Head to head

Ethiopia vs Iran

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

13% / 19% / 68%

Ethiopia win / draw / Iran win

Ethiopia–Iran

0–2 12.5%
0–1 11.9%
1–2 9.6%
1–1 9.2%
0–3 8.7%

Neutral venue

9% / 17% / 75%

Ethiopia win / draw / Iran win

Ethiopia–Iran

0–2 14.0%
0–1 12.2%
0–3 10.7%
1–2 9.0%
1–1 7.8%

Iran at home

6% / 14% / 81%

Ethiopia win / draw / Iran win

Ethiopia–Iran

0–2 15.5%
0–3 12.9%
0–1 12.4%
0–4 8.0%
1–2 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Iran
Current Elo	1393	1889
Elo rank	148th	25th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1945 (2022)
Matches played	409	615
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	349W 147D 119L
Goals for	549	1158
Goals against	595	486
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	19–0 vs Guam · 2000-11-24 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–6 vs Turkey · 1950-05-28 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.13

When they've met

Ethiopia and Iran have never played each other.