Head to head

Ethiopia vs Iceland

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Ethiopia win / draw / Iceland win

Ethiopia–Iceland

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.4%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 57%

Ethiopia win / draw / Iceland win

Ethiopia–Iceland

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Iceland at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Ethiopia win / draw / Iceland win

Ethiopia–Iceland

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.7%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Iceland
Current Elo	1393	1639
Elo rank	148th	81st
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1885 (2017)
Matches played	409	522
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	159W 102D 261L
Goals for	549	632
Goals against	595	876
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	9–0 vs Faroe Islands · 1985-07-10 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	2–14 vs Denmark · 1967-08-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Ethiopia and Iceland have never played each other.