Head to head

Ethiopia vs Hong Kong

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

52% / 24% / 24%

Ethiopia win / draw / Hong Kong win

Ethiopia–Hong Kong

1–1 11.6%
1–0 10.9%
2–1 9.6%
2–0 9.1%
0–1 7.0%

Neutral venue

43% / 26% / 31%

Ethiopia win / draw / Hong Kong win

Ethiopia–Hong Kong

1–1 12.3%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.4%
2–0 7.5%

Hong Kong at home

35% / 26% / 38%

Ethiopia win / draw / Hong Kong win

Ethiopia–Hong Kong

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Hong Kong
Current Elo	1393	1311
Elo rank	148th	167th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1578 (1963)
Matches played	409	447
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	143W 96D 208L
Goals for	549	648
Goals against	595	732
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	15–0 vs Guam · 2005-03-07 · EAFF Championship
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–7 vs Argentina · 2014-10-14 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Hong Kong have never played each other.