Head to head

Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

47% / 25% / 27%

Ethiopia win / draw / Guinea-Bissau win

Ethiopia–Guinea-Bissau

1–1 12.0%
1–0 10.6%
2–1 9.3%
2–0 8.3%
0–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

39% / 26% / 34%

Ethiopia win / draw / Guinea-Bissau win

Ethiopia–Guinea-Bissau

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.2%
2–1 8.5%
1–2 7.8%

Guinea-Bissau at home

32% / 26% / 42%

Ethiopia win / draw / Guinea-Bissau win

Ethiopia–Guinea-Bissau

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.2%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.6%
2–1 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Guinea-Bissau
Current Elo	1393	1362
Elo rank	148th	154th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1532 (1960)
Matches played	409	190
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	52W 44D 94L
Goals for	549	189
Goals against	595	280
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–2 vs Benin · 2001-11-03 · Amílcar Cabral Cup
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–6 vs Mali · 1997-12-01 · Amílcar Cabral Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Ethiopia 1W 1D 0L

Goals

1–0

Ethiopia first

First meeting

0–0

Drawn · 2024-06-06 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Most recent

1–0

Ethiopia won · 2025-10-08 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Ethiopia's biggest win

1–0

2025-10-08 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Guinea-Bissau's biggest win

—

Never beaten Ethiopia

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Ethiopia · since 2024-06-06

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-08	1–0	Neutral	FIFA World Cup qualification
2024-06-06	0–0	Guinea-Bissau home	FIFA World Cup qualification