Head to head

Ethiopia vs Guadeloupe

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

35% / 26% / 38%

Ethiopia win / draw / Guadeloupe win

Ethiopia–Guadeloupe

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.3%
1–2 8.4%
2–1 8.0%

Neutral venue

28% / 25% / 46%

Ethiopia win / draw / Guadeloupe win

Ethiopia–Guadeloupe

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.1%
1–0 7.8%

Guadeloupe at home

22% / 24% / 55%

Ethiopia win / draw / Guadeloupe win

Ethiopia–Guadeloupe

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.7%
1–0 6.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Guadeloupe
Current Elo	1393	1512
Elo rank	148th	107th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1665 (2008)
Matches played	409	271
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	115W 47D 109L
Goals for	549	463
Goals against	595	390
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	13–0 vs Saint Pierre and Miquelon · 2012-09-22 · Coupe de l'Outre-Mer
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	2–8 vs Martinique · 1975-05-10 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Guadeloupe have never played each other.