Head to head

Ethiopia vs Gambia

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

33% / 26% / 41%

Ethiopia win / draw / Gambia win

Ethiopia–Gambia

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.7%

Neutral venue

26% / 25% / 49%

Ethiopia win / draw / Gambia win

Ethiopia–Gambia

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Gambia at home

20% / 23% / 57%

Ethiopia win / draw / Gambia win

Ethiopia–Gambia

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Gambia
Current Elo	1393	1540
Elo rank	148th	99th
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1570 (2022)
Matches played	409	266
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	73W 75D 118L
Goals for	549	279
Goals against	595	370
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	7–0 vs Seychelles · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	1–7 vs Ghana · 1978-01-17 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	1	0
Expected African Cup of Nations	1.67	0.01

When they've met

Ethiopia and Gambia have never played each other.