Head to head

Ethiopia vs France

If they played today

Ethiopia at home
4% / 12% / 84%
Ethiopia win / draw / France win
Ethiopia–France
  • 0–2 16.2%
  • 0–3 14.0%
  • 0–1 12.5%
  • 0–4 9.1%
  • 1–2 7.1%
Neutral venue
2% / 9% / 88%
Ethiopia win / draw / France win
Ethiopia–France
  • 0–2 17.6%
  • 0–3 16.4%
  • 0–1 12.6%
  • 0–4 11.4%
  • 0–5 6.4%
France at home
1% / 7% / 92%
Ethiopia win / draw / France win
Ethiopia–France
  • 0–2 18.9%
  • 0–3 18.9%
  • 0–4 14.1%
  • 0–1 12.6%
  • 0–5 8.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

 EthiopiaFrance
Current Elo13932139
Elo rank148th4th
Peak Elo1641 (1968)2232 (2026)
Matches played409943
All-time record144W 93D 172L483W 195D 265L
Goals for5491735
Goals against5951219
Biggest win10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly14–0 vs Gibraltar · 2023-11-18 · UEFA Euro qualification
Biggest loss0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament1–17 vs Denmark · 1908-10-22 · Olympic Games
World Cups won02
Expected World Cups0.000.90

When they've met

Ethiopia and France have never played each other.