Head to head

Ethiopia vs Finland

If they played today

Ethiopia at home

28% / 25% / 47%

Ethiopia win / draw / Finland win

Ethiopia–Finland

1–1 12.0%
0–1 10.6%
1–2 9.3%
0–2 8.2%
1–0 7.8%

Neutral venue

22% / 24% / 55%

Ethiopia win / draw / Finland win

Ethiopia–Finland

1–1 11.2%
0–1 11.2%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.8%
1–0 6.4%

Finland at home

16% / 21% / 63%

Ethiopia win / draw / Finland win

Ethiopia–Finland

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Ethiopia	Finland
Current Elo	1393	1616
Elo rank	148th	82nd
Peak Elo	1641 (1968)	1779 (2021)
Matches played	409	818
All-time record	144W 93D 172L	216W 166D 436L
Goals for	549	960
Goals against	595	1675
Biggest win	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly	10–2 vs Estonia · 1922-08-11 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament	0–13 vs Germany · 1940-09-01 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Ethiopia and Finland have never played each other.