Head to head

Eswatini vs Ethiopia

If they played today

Eswatini at home

39% / 26% / 35%

Eswatini win / draw / Ethiopia win

Eswatini–Ethiopia

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.9%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 7.9%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 43%

Eswatini win / draw / Ethiopia win

Eswatini–Ethiopia

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 8.9%
1–0 8.5%
0–2 7.4%

Ethiopia at home

24% / 24% / 51%

Eswatini win / draw / Ethiopia win

Eswatini–Ethiopia

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.0%
1–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Eswatini	Ethiopia
Current Elo	1317	1393
Elo rank	166th	148th
Peak Elo	1511 (1968)	1641 (1968)
Matches played	274	409
All-time record	55W 83D 136L	144W 93D 172L
Goals for	231	549
Goals against	455	595
Biggest win	6–0 vs Djibouti · 2015-10-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–2 vs Djibouti · 1954-05-01 · Friendly
Biggest loss	0–10 vs Egypt · 2013-03-22 · Friendly	0–13 vs Iraq · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup
African Cup of Nations won	0	1
Expected African Cup of Nations	0.00	1.67

When they've met

Meetings

Eswatini 0W 0D 1L

Goals

0–2

Eswatini first

First meeting

0–2

Ethiopia won · 2006-10-04 · Friendly

Most recent

0–2

Ethiopia won · 2006-10-04 · Friendly

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2006-10-04	0–2	Ethiopia home	Friendly