Head to head

Estonia vs Wales

If they played today

Estonia at home

22% / 24% / 54%

Estonia win / draw / Wales win

Estonia–Wales

1–1 11.3%
0–1 11.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–2 9.7%
1–0 6.5%

Neutral venue

16% / 21% / 62%

Estonia win / draw / Wales win

Estonia–Wales

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.3%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.3%

Wales at home

12% / 19% / 70%

Estonia win / draw / Wales win

Estonia–Wales

0–2 12.8%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.5%
0–3 9.1%
1–1 8.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Wales
Current Elo	1425	1743
Elo rank	141st	52nd
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1904 (2021)
Matches played	550	726
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	234W 165D 327L
Goals for	544	910
Goals against	974	1160
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	11–0 vs Northern Ireland · 1888-03-03 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–9 vs Scotland · 1878-03-23 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 0W 1D 3L

Goals

1–4

Estonia first

First meeting

1–2

Wales won · 1994-05-23 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Wales won · 2021-10-11 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Estonia's biggest win

—

Never beaten Wales

Wales' biggest win

2–1

1994-05-23 · Friendly

Most common result

0–1

Estonia first · twice, last 2021-10-11

Current run

Unbeaten in 4

Wales · since 1994-05-23

4 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-10-11	0–1	Estonia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2021-09-08	0–0	Wales home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2009-05-29	0–1	Wales home	Friendly
1994-05-23	1–2	Estonia home	Friendly