Head to head

Estonia vs United States

If they played today

Estonia at home

16% / 21% / 62%

Estonia win / draw / United States win

Estonia–United States

0–1 11.6%
0–2 11.2%
1–1 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 7.2%

Neutral venue

12% / 19% / 69%

Estonia win / draw / United States win

Estonia–United States

0–2 12.8%
0–1 12.0%
1–2 9.5%
0–3 9.1%
1–1 8.9%

United States at home

8% / 16% / 76%

Estonia win / draw / United States win

Estonia–United States

0–2 14.3%
0–1 12.3%
0–3 11.2%
1–2 8.8%
1–1 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	United States
Current Elo	1425	1842
Elo rank	141st	33rd
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1973 (2021)
Matches played	550	795
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	354W 161D 280L
Goals for	544	1211
Goals against	974	1056
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	8–0 vs Barbados · 2008-06-15 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–11 vs Norway · 1948-08-06 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.21

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 0W 0D 2L

Goals

0–5

Estonia first

First meeting

0–1

United States won · 1924-05-25 · Olympic Games

Most recent

0–4

United States won · 1994-05-07 · Friendly

Estonia's biggest win

—

Never beaten United States

United States' biggest win

4–0

1994-05-07 · Friendly

Current run

Won last 2

United States · since 1924-05-25

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
1994-05-07	0–4	United States home	Friendly
1924-05-25	0–1	Neutral	Olympic Games