Head to head

Estonia vs Tonga

If they played today

Estonia at home

73% / 17% / 10%

Estonia win / draw / Tonga win

Estonia–Tonga

2–0 13.6%
1–0 12.2%
3–0 10.2%
2–1 9.2%
1–1 8.2%

Neutral venue

66% / 20% / 14%

Estonia win / draw / Tonga win

Estonia–Tonga

2–0 12.1%
1–0 11.8%
2–1 9.7%
1–1 9.6%
3–0 8.2%

Tonga at home

58% / 23% / 19%

Estonia win / draw / Tonga win

Estonia–Tonga

1–0 11.4%
1–1 10.7%
2–0 10.5%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Tonga
Current Elo	1425	1056
Elo rank	141st	198th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1478 (1979)
Matches played	550	68
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	16W 6D 46L
Goals for	544	81
Goals against	974	253
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Micronesia · 2003-07-05 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–22 vs Australia · 2001-04-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Estonia and Tonga have never played each other.