Head to head

Estonia vs Tahiti

If they played today

Estonia at home

38% / 26% / 35%

Estonia win / draw / Tahiti win

Estonia–Tahiti

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.8%
0–1 9.3%
2–1 8.4%
1–2 8.0%

Neutral venue

31% / 26% / 43%

Estonia win / draw / Tahiti win

Estonia–Tahiti

1–1 12.3%
0–1 10.3%
1–2 9.0%
1–0 8.4%
0–2 7.5%

Tahiti at home

24% / 24% / 51%

Estonia win / draw / Tahiti win

Estonia–Tahiti

1–1 11.6%
0–1 10.9%
1–2 9.6%
0–2 9.1%
1–0 7.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Tahiti
Current Elo	1425	1506
Elo rank	141st	109th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1856 (1996)
Matches played	550	242
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	131W 31D 80L
Goals for	544	657
Goals against	974	371
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	30–0 vs Cook Islands · 1971-09-13 · South Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–10 vs Spain · 2013-06-20 · Confederations Cup
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Estonia and Tahiti have never played each other.