Head to head

Estonia vs Samoa

If they played today

Estonia at home

62% / 22% / 17%

Estonia win / draw / Samoa win

Estonia–Samoa

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.1%
1–1 10.3%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.1%

Neutral venue

54% / 24% / 22%

Estonia win / draw / Samoa win

Estonia–Samoa

1–1 11.3%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.5%
0–1 6.6%

Samoa at home

46% / 25% / 29%

Estonia win / draw / Samoa win

Estonia–Samoa

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 8.0%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Samoa
Current Elo	1425	1216
Elo rank	141st	179th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1447 (1979)
Matches played	550	71
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	22W 4D 45L
Goals for	544	99
Goals against	974	249
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs American Samoa · 2023-11-20 · Pacific Games
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–13 vs Tahiti · 1981-07-08 · South Pacific Mini Games
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Estonia and Samoa have never played each other.