Head to head

Estonia vs Saint Lucia

If they played today

Estonia at home

61% / 22% / 17%

Estonia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Estonia–Saint Lucia

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.0%
1–1 10.4%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.0%

Neutral venue

53% / 24% / 23%

Estonia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Estonia–Saint Lucia

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.4%
0–1 6.7%

Saint Lucia at home

45% / 26% / 29%

Estonia win / draw / Saint Lucia win

Estonia–Saint Lucia

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.4%
2–1 9.1%
0–1 8.1%
2–0 7.8%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Saint Lucia
Current Elo	1425	1224
Elo rank	141st	177th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1526 (1965)
Matches played	550	230
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	80W 33D 117L
Goals for	544	327
Goals against	974	438
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	14–1 vs United States Virgin Islands · 2001-04-14 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–8 vs Saint Vincent and the Grenadines · 2006-10-01 · CFU Caribbean Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Estonia and Saint Lucia have never played each other.