Head to head

Estonia vs Poland

If they played today

Estonia at home

20% / 23% / 57%

Estonia win / draw / Poland win

Estonia–Poland

0–1 11.3%
1–1 10.9%
0–2 10.2%
1–2 9.9%
0–0 6.3%

Neutral venue

15% / 21% / 65%

Estonia win / draw / Poland win

Estonia–Poland

0–2 11.8%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.8%
0–3 7.9%

Poland at home

10% / 18% / 72%

Estonia win / draw / Poland win

Estonia–Poland

0–2 13.4%
0–1 12.1%
0–3 9.8%
1–2 9.3%
1–1 8.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Poland
Current Elo	1425	1779
Elo rank	141st	44th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1937 (1975)
Matches played	550	892
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	384W 225D 283L
Goals for	544	1499
Goals against	974	1201
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs San Marino · 2009-04-01 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–8 vs Denmark · 1948-06-26 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.24
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.00	0.10

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 1W 1D 8L

Goals

5–23

Estonia first

First meeting

1–4

Poland won · 1923-09-25 · Friendly

Most recent

1–5

Poland won · 2024-03-21 · UEFA Euro qualification

Estonia's biggest win

1–0

2012-08-15 · Friendly

Poland's biggest win

5–1

2024-03-21 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most common result

0–2

Estonia first · twice, last 2008-02-27

Current run

Won the last meeting

Poland · since 2024-03-21

10 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2024-03-21	1–5	Poland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2012-08-15	1–0	Estonia home	Friendly
2008-02-27	0–2	Poland home	Friendly
2007-02-03	0–4	Neutral	Friendly
2005-11-16	1–3	Poland home	Friendly
2003-08-20	1–2	Estonia home	Friendly
2002-05-18	0–1	Poland home	Friendly
1926-07-04	0–2	Poland home	Friendly
1925-09-02	0–0	Estonia home	Friendly
1923-09-25	1–4	Estonia home	Friendly