Head to head

Estonia vs Northern Ireland

If they played today

Estonia at home

27% / 25% / 48%

Estonia win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Estonia–Northern Ireland

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.5%

Neutral venue

20% / 23% / 56%

Estonia win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Estonia–Northern Ireland

0–1 11.3%
1–1 11.0%
0–2 10.1%
1–2 9.8%
0–0 6.3%

Northern Ireland at home

15% / 21% / 64%

Estonia win / draw / Northern Ireland win

Estonia–Northern Ireland

0–1 11.7%
0–2 11.6%
1–1 9.9%
1–2 9.8%
0–3 7.7%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Northern Ireland
Current Elo	1425	1667
Elo rank	141st	73rd
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1758 (1986)
Matches played	550	707
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	185W 160D 362L
Goals for	544	741
Goals against	974	1296
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Wales · 1930-02-01 · British Home Championship
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–13 vs England · 1882-02-18 · Friendly
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.04
European Championships won	0	0
Expected European Championships	0.00	<0.01

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 2W 0D 5L

Goals

7–9

Estonia first

First meeting

0–1

Northern Ireland won · 2004-03-31 · Friendly

Most recent

0–1

Northern Ireland won · 2021-09-05 · Friendly

Estonia's biggest win

4–1

2011-09-06 · UEFA Euro qualification

Northern Ireland's biggest win

2–0

2019-03-21 · UEFA Euro qualification

Most common result

0–1

Estonia first · 3 times, last 2021-09-05

Current run

Won last 3

Northern Ireland · since 2019-03-21

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2021-09-05	0–1	Estonia home	Friendly
2019-06-08	1–2	Estonia home	UEFA Euro qualification
2019-03-21	0–2	Northern Ireland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2011-10-07	2–1	Northern Ireland home	UEFA Euro qualification
2011-09-06	4–1	Estonia home	UEFA Euro qualification
2006-03-01	0–1	Northern Ireland home	Friendly
2004-03-31	0–1	Estonia home	Friendly