Head to head

Estonia vs New Zealand

If they played today

Estonia at home

25% / 25% / 50%

Estonia win / draw / New Zealand win

Estonia–New Zealand

1–1 11.7%
0–1 10.8%
1–2 9.5%
0–2 8.8%
1–0 7.2%

Neutral venue

19% / 23% / 58%

Estonia win / draw / New Zealand win

Estonia–New Zealand

0–1 11.4%
1–1 10.8%
0–2 10.4%
1–2 9.9%
0–3 6.3%

New Zealand at home

14% / 20% / 66%

Estonia win / draw / New Zealand win

Estonia–New Zealand

0–2 12.0%
0–1 11.8%
1–2 9.8%
1–1 9.6%
0–3 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	New Zealand
Current Elo	1425	1689
Elo rank	141st	68th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1825 (2025)
Matches played	550	419
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	172W 74D 173L
Goals for	544	733
Goals against	974	634
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	13–0 vs Fiji · 1981-08-16 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–10 vs Australia · 1936-07-11 · Soccer Ashes
World Cups won	0	0
Expected World Cups	0.00	0.02

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 1W 1D 0L

Goals

4–3

Estonia first

First meeting

3–2

Estonia won · 2002-10-13 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2006-05-31 · Friendly

Estonia's biggest win

3–2

2002-10-13 · Friendly

New Zealand's biggest win

—

Never beaten Estonia

Current run

Unbeaten in 2

Estonia · since 2002-10-13

2 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2006-05-31	1–1	Estonia home	Friendly
2002-10-13	3–2	Estonia home	Friendly