Head to head

Estonia vs Nepal

If they played today

Estonia at home

70% / 19% / 12%

Estonia win / draw / Nepal win

Estonia–Nepal

2–0 12.9%
1–0 12.0%
2–1 9.5%
3–0 9.2%
1–1 8.9%

Neutral venue

63% / 21% / 16%

Estonia win / draw / Nepal win

Estonia–Nepal

1–0 11.6%
2–0 11.3%
1–1 10.1%
2–1 9.9%
3–0 7.3%

Nepal at home

55% / 24% / 22%

Estonia win / draw / Nepal win

Estonia–Nepal

1–1 11.2%
1–0 11.2%
2–1 9.8%
2–0 9.7%
0–1 6.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Nepal
Current Elo	1425	1103
Elo rank	141st	193rd
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1495 (1972)
Matches played	550	268
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	63W 47D 158L
Goals for	544	229
Goals against	974	602
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	7–0 vs Bhutan · 1999-09-26 · South Asian Games
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–16 vs South Korea · 2003-09-29 · AFC Asian Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Estonia and Nepal have never played each other.