Head to head

Estonia vs Moldova

If they played today

Estonia at home

53% / 24% / 23%

Estonia win / draw / Moldova win

Estonia–Moldova

1–1 11.4%
1–0 11.1%
2–1 9.7%
2–0 9.5%
0–1 6.6%

Neutral venue

45% / 26% / 29%

Estonia win / draw / Moldova win

Estonia–Moldova

1–1 12.1%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.2%
0–1 8.0%
2–0 7.9%

Moldova at home

37% / 26% / 36%

Estonia win / draw / Moldova win

Estonia–Moldova

1–1 12.5%
1–0 9.7%
0–1 9.6%
2–1 8.2%
1–2 8.1%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Moldova
Current Elo	1425	1319
Elo rank	141st	165th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1566 (1994)
Matches played	550	299
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	58W 70D 171L
Goals for	544	243
Goals against	974	522
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	5–0 vs Pakistan · 1992-08-18 · Jordan International Tournament
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	1–11 vs Norway · 2025-09-09 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 4W 2D 1L

Goals

7–4

Estonia first

First meeting

0–1

Moldova won · 1998-08-20 · Friendly

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2025-10-14 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Estonia's biggest win

3–2

2025-03-25 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Moldova's biggest win

1–0

1998-08-20 · Friendly

Most common result

1–0

Estonia first · 3 times, last 2008-11-18

Current run

Unbeaten in 6

Estonia · since 2001-04-25

7 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2025-10-14	1–1	Estonia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2025-03-25	3–2	Moldova home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2008-11-18	1–0	Estonia home	Friendly
2004-02-18	1–0	Neutral	Malta International Tournament
2002-08-21	1–0	Estonia home	Friendly
2001-04-25	0–0	Moldova home	Friendly
1998-08-20	0–1	Estonia home	Friendly