Head to head

Estonia vs Malawi

If they played today

Estonia at home

44% / 26% / 30%

Estonia win / draw / Malawi win

Estonia–Malawi

1–1 12.2%
1–0 10.3%
2–1 9.0%
0–1 8.3%
2–0 7.6%

Neutral venue

36% / 26% / 38%

Estonia win / draw / Malawi win

Estonia–Malawi

1–1 12.5%
0–1 9.8%
1–0 9.4%
1–2 8.3%
2–1 8.0%

Malawi at home

29% / 25% / 46%

Estonia win / draw / Malawi win

Estonia–Malawi

1–1 12.1%
0–1 10.5%
1–2 9.2%
0–2 8.0%
1–0 7.9%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Malawi
Current Elo	1425	1438
Elo rank	141st	137th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1669 (1985)
Matches played	550	644
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	219W 182D 243L
Goals for	544	753
Goals against	974	832
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	8–1 vs Djibouti · 2008-05-31 · FIFA World Cup qualification
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–12 vs Ghana · 1962-10-15 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Estonia and Malawi have never played each other.