Head to head

Estonia vs Luxembourg

If they played today

Estonia at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Estonia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Estonia–Luxembourg

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
0–1 8.8%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 40%

Estonia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Estonia–Luxembourg

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.6%
2–1 7.7%

Luxembourg at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Estonia win / draw / Luxembourg win

Estonia–Luxembourg

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.5%
1–0 7.5%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Luxembourg
Current Elo	1425	1470
Elo rank	141st	124th
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1567 (2023)
Matches played	550	467
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	50W 63D 354L
Goals for	544	296
Goals against	974	1204
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	4–0 vs Moldova · 2018-09-08 · UEFA Nations League
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	0–9 vs Portugal · 2023-09-11 · UEFA Euro qualification
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 2W 1D 0L

Goals

7–1

Estonia first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2000-04-26 · Friendly

Most recent

2–0

Estonia won · 2005-10-12 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Estonia's biggest win

4–0

2004-09-04 · FIFA World Cup qualification

Luxembourg's biggest win

—

Never beaten Estonia

Current run

Unbeaten in 3

Estonia · since 2000-04-26

3 meetings

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2005-10-12	2–0	Luxembourg home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2004-09-04	4–0	Estonia home	FIFA World Cup qualification
2000-04-26	1–1	Luxembourg home	Friendly