Head to head

Estonia vs Kenya

If they played today

Estonia at home

41% / 26% / 33%

Estonia win / draw / Kenya win

Estonia–Kenya

1–1 12.4%
1–0 10.1%
0–1 8.8%
2–1 8.7%
1–2 7.6%

Neutral venue

33% / 26% / 41%

Estonia win / draw / Kenya win

Estonia–Kenya

1–1 12.4%
0–1 10.0%
1–0 8.9%
1–2 8.7%
2–1 7.7%

Kenya at home

26% / 25% / 49%

Estonia win / draw / Kenya win

Estonia–Kenya

1–1 11.9%
0–1 10.7%
1–2 9.4%
0–2 8.6%
1–0 7.4%

Probabilities come from each team's current Elo rating, so they answer “if they met today” rather than predicting a scheduled fixture. See the methodology for how the model works and where it is weakest.

Elo since debut

Side by side

	Estonia	Kenya
Current Elo	1425	1472
Elo rank	141st	123rd
Peak Elo	1607 (2018)	1644 (1961)
Matches played	550	706
All-time record	136W 122D 292L	268W 176D 262L
Goals for	544	978
Goals against	974	958
Biggest win	6–0 vs Gibraltar · 2017-10-07 · FIFA World Cup qualification	10–0 vs Zanzibar · 1961-10-04 · Friendly
Biggest loss	2–10 vs Finland · 1922-08-11 · Friendly	1–13 vs Uganda · 1932-08-25 · Friendly
Neither team has qualified for a World Cup

When they've met

Meetings

Estonia 0W 1D 0L

Goals

1–1

Estonia first

First meeting

1–1

Drawn · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series

Most recent

1–1

Drawn · 2026-03-27 · FIFA Series

1 meeting

Date	Score	Venue	Competition
2026-03-27	1–1	Neutral	FIFA Series